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Short range prediction with a multi-level primitive equation model

Singh, SS (1985) Short range prediction with a multi-level primitive equation model. Proceedings of the Indian Academy of Sciences - Earth and Planetary Sciences, 94 (2). pp. 159-184.

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Abstract

A five-level primitive equation model in a (x, y, p, t) coordinate system has been developed. A fairly sophisticated scheme of physical processes has been incorporated in the model. The model physics include air-sea interaction, cumulus parametrization, large scale condensation, dry convective adjustment, horizontal and vertical diffusion and simulated radiation. The initial balance between mass and motion fields has been obtained through a dynamic initialization scheme. The model has been integrated upto 48 hr using input data of a case of monsoon depression. The results of initialization and forecast have been presented and discussed. Wind, temperature and vertical velocity fields have been found to retain the observed map features; after the initialization, however, the surface pressure has been considerably modified. The model produced a reasonably good forecast up to 24 hr as far as the flow fields, rainfall region, structure of the depression and the movement of cyclonic circulation were concerned and beyond that damped rapidly. The rainfall rates were underestimated. Some of the shortcomings of the model are also discussed.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Copyright of this article belongs to Indian academy of Science
Uncontrolled Keywords: air sea interaction; cumulus parametrization; monsoon depression
Subjects: Meteorology and Climatology
Depositing User: IITM Library
Date Deposited: 24 Apr 2015 04:33
Last Modified: 24 Apr 2015 04:33
URI: http://moeseprints.incois.gov.in/id/eprint/1249

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